• About
  • Farmers

vedika

~ your forum for critical and constructive writings

vedika

Category Archives: Economics

Worldwide oversupply pushes banana prices down

28 Saturday Nov 2015

Posted by raomk in Economics, Farmers, INTERNATIONAL NEWS

≈ Leave a comment

Tags

banana, FreshPlaza

There is currently a worldwide oversupply of bananas. Traders in Europe, Russia and the U.S. pointed out that prices are low due to a large supply. In China, prices fell because of a large domestic crop and increased imports. In Latin America, several countries started producing bananas, creating new competitors for Ecuador. In the U.S., for example, multinationals seem more prone to sign contracts with growers outside Ecuador. In Ecuador, a proposal was made to reduce the price next year to ten cents per box. The Philippines faces increasing competition in the banana market, as other countries in South East Asia are exporting to the archipelago’s traditional markets. And while El Niño may take a negative toll on the harvest in South America, its impact may be positive in Australia. The weather phenomenon will likely guarantee fewer hurricanes in Australia: a reassurance to the growers there.

South America
The impact of El Niño on bananas is still unclear. The weather phenomenon usually has the most influence around Christmas. The last El Niño had a great impact on Ecuador’s banana production. At the moment, there are no problems, and this means that there are enough bananas available. Even countries in Africa or China, which have their own banana sector, register demand for the South American bananas.
Oversupply in the second half of the year and the low prices that followed will inevitably result in losses. This is also the reason why a lot of fruit is being shipped to Eastern Europe, Southern Europe, the countries around the Mediterranean and the Middle East.

On the U.S. spot market, bananas from Central America are yielding little; however, the bulk of sales are under contract. It is striking that multinationals are increasingly opting for bananas from Central America, Nicaragua, Guatemala and Mexico. Fortunately for Mexico and Guatemala, the impact of El Niño in these countries is less severe than in South America, although their winter, with a greater amount of rain, is still a time when the pressure from pests and diseases is stronger. In any case, they are working hard to control and prevent pests and diseases as much as possible. Compared to South America, no serious issues have been registered in Central America when it comes to pests and diseases.
In the first eight months of this year, Central America exported nearly 3.5 million tonnes of bananas worth $ 1.4 million. The largest exporter was Guatemala, with 1.6 million tonnes, followed by Costa Rica (1.3 million tonnes), Honduras (405,000 tonnes), Panama (135,000 tonnes), Nicaragua (8,660 tonnes) and El Salvador (1,274 tonnes).
Ecuador: possibly cheaper bananas in 2016
Next year, the price of bananas may drop by 0.10 US$. This proposal was made to the members of the Banana Consultative Council, which is responsible for the annual setting of prices. This year, the price stands at $ 6.55 per box and the country has likely exported about 310 million boxes of bananas.

 

The administrative restrictions imposed to the import of bananas from Ecuador make this country less attractive to European importers. The country is still the main supplier for Europe, partly because Ecuador has an advantage in the volume available. Other countries have opened their borders, although it will take some time before this has a significant effect on the market.
The Chinese market is quiet compared to last year, when the country’s traditional banana suppliers suffered the impact of climatic conditions. On destinations like Turkey and, by extension, Iran, Ecuador faced competition from Costa Rica and the Philippines. Compared to these countries, Ecuador’s fruit is expensive. The cost price for Ecuadorian banana growers is at odds with the global economic climate.
As far as quality is concerned, long distances are not an obstacle for bananas to be competitive, but due to political unrest in different regions, companies are less inclined to ship bananas to these destinations. In order to penetrate new markets and remain competitive against other countries, Ecuador must continue focusing on improving productivity and prices must be adjusted to the current situation, according to an exporter. By this he means factors such as the rising dollar, low rouble and the world conflicts. The Ministry of Agriculture (MAGAP) plays an important role in this; policies should be adjusted because of problems with companies in the past, which are hindering the rise of a new generation of exporters.
An exporter with sales in countries like Morocco, Tunisia, Nigeria, New Zealand, Japan, Uzbekistan, Russia and China reported that Black Sigatoka has hampered production in Ecuador. The disease struck some growers who were supplying the exporter, resulting in a forty percent drop in the volume available. Next year, more growers fear the return of the banana disease, especially in Los Rios, where there are 40,000 hectares of plantations. The fear of the Panama Disease TR4 has resulted in the introduction of measures to prevent an outbreak. As a result of El Niño, production has been estimated to drop by about twenty percent.
Costa Rica sees good opportunities in Russia
The Central American country has good market prospects in the Russian market, where class 2 fruit stands at a price of $ 11.50 per box (18.4 kilos). Class 2 bananas are shorter than the Class 1. While the logistics and the growing conditions in Costa Rica have room for improvements, the fruit perfectly endures the long 18 day journey by sea to Russia and the four extra days it takes to reach Kazakhstan.
Peruvian banana production largely for the U.S.
Banana production concentrates in the northern region of Piura, where some 7,000 hectares of bananas are cultivated. Of this, ninety percent is organic. Another important region is Tumbes, which accounts for another 4,000 hectares. While producers in Piura are all associated in a cooperative, growers in the rest of the country are more fragmented. Banana growing is a profitable business in Peru. About seventy to eighty percent of the sales are made by Dole to North America.
Dominican Republic mostly organic cultivation
The Caribbean island is investing in banana cultivation, especially of organic bananas. The total volume amounts to about 300,000 tonnes, which is still relatively small. Cultivation is mainly concentrated in the north-west, but there are also plantations in Azua, in the south. Of the 1985 producers on the island, 67 percent (1,332 growers) are certified organic. The EU supports the Dominican efforts to increase banana production with subsidies. The European market accounts for about 95 percent of sales; other markets include Japan, the U.S. and other Caribbean islands.
Asia
More competition for Philippine bananas
Until next June, El Niño will affect the production from the Philippines; therefore, growers with adequate financial resources are recommended to build irrigation systems to keep their production levels. This season’s exports have dropped by about nine percent. The archipelago faces increasing competition, even in markets such as Japan and China, which traditionally import the fruit from the Philippines. This has resulted in oversupply in these markets, and the price is expected to fall to a low point. A Filipino exporter tells us he fears a new price war. Competitors from Vietnam and Indonesia are already active in traditional Filipino markets. “Our market share will fall,” he states.
Chinese overproduction pushes prices down
The Chinese market is also flooded with bananas. Normally the peak season lasts from September to November. Prices have been about twenty percent lower than last season; however, the average price over the whole campaign is fifty percent lower than last year. The reason for the lower prices is the greater supply. Last year, a portion of the crop was destroyed by high winds, resulting in high prices. That attracted new growers, making domestic producers capable of meeting the demand. Additionally, imports increased by 25 percent, which pushed prices down even further.
Australia first harvest since hurricane
After a hurricane in March, which decimated the banana production in Carnarvon, Western Australia, the region is now in full production. The first bananas have already been harvested and reached the domestic market. The wet season is around the corner, which usually involves hurricanes. These hurricanes are the greatest threat to bananas. Diseases like the Panama Disease TR4 and the Banana Freckle are an issue, but under control. Growers in Queensland and Western Australia, where 95 percent of the bananas are grown, are keeping an eye on the weather forecast. El Niño can be beneficial for Australian growers, as the weather phenomenon results in fewer tropical storms in the Pacific. The production, which amounted to 371,000 tonnes this year, was 1,000 tons greater than last year’s record.

 

South Africa: Strikes and the threat of the Panama Disease
The situation for South Africa’s banana sector is changing rapidly. Large growers in the north of the country are affected by strikes, but the consequences of this are still unclear. Additionally, some plantations are threatened by the Panama disease. In Mozambique, several companies have been affected by it and there are fears that the disease could spread to South Africa. Neighbouring Zimbabwe stopped exports to South Africa because of the unfavourable exchange rate. Growers successfully lobbied in 2012 to abolish the South African boycott and now growers themselves have stopped exporting.
Europe is flooded with bananas
The European banana market is under pressure, according to a Polish trader. The supply of bananas remains high, there is more local fruit on the market and the exchange rate is also not the most favourable. The average European eats ten kilos of bananas per year
Poland records excessive supply
Poland has ten importers who import 2.44 billion Euro’ worth of bananas per year. In the first eight months of this year, the imported volume increased by 18.4 percent. The bulk of these bananas come from Ecuador, Colombia and Costa Rica. Due to the large import volumes, importers may be facing losses. Although an average Pole consumes seven kilograms of bananas per year, this is insufficient to absorb the surplus. Importers, however, expect a growth in consumption, as compared to other countries, banana consumption in Poland is small. Scandinavians, for example, consume an average of eighteen kilograms per person.
“We expect no improvements by the end of 2015,” said an importer. “2016 will be a very interesting year and many companies will need to rethink their strategies to keep their heads above water.” While organic and Fairtrade bananas are making inroads in the Polish retail, they are not expected to replace the conventional product in the shelves. “Poland is a price-oriented market, therefore organic and Fairtrade products remain a niche,” concludes the importer.
France opts for overseas imports
French importers are working together with the overseas territories of France, from where bananas are imported. This import is supplemented with shipments from Ecuador, which has the upper hand in terms of quality and volume. Despite facing competition, Ecuador remains the market leader. Towards the Christmas season, demand for bananas increases and this is already reflected in present high demand. From week 49 to 52, demand plummets only to peak again shortly after.
Small harvest in Sicily
Italy imports about 35 million boxes, or 680,000 tonnes. Its main suppliers are Ecuador, Costa Rica, Colombia and the Dominican Republic, with the latter supplying also organic bananas. The unfavourable exchange rate of the Euro in the first half of this year brought balance to the market. In the second half of this year, prices dropped and costs remained at the same high levels.
In Sicily, bananas are cultivated on a very small scale. A cooperative has 1,000 plants where two varieties are grown: Musa capriciosa and Musa paradisiaca. The Musa capriciosa has a firmer texture than the Cavendish; the Musa paradisiaca is smaller and rounder. Bananas have a yellow colour, the flesh is somewhat meatier and, in addition to a sweet taste, the fruit has an aftertaste with hints of cinnamon.
Canary banana growers fear competition
Production in the Canaries has grown by seven percent and amounts to around 375,000 tonnes per year. The archipelago has a stable acreage totalling ​​9,100 hectares. Canary bananas have a market share of 65 percent in volume and 75 percent in value in Spain, but that position is under pressure from competition from imported bananas. The biggest competitors are bananas from Africa, especially Cameroon, which can be imported without import taxes. Furthermore, the EU has an agreement with Ecuador to gradually cut import tariffs.

 

Too many bananas in Russia
Importers have brought too many bananas into the Russian market, which has resulted in oversupply; therefore, the price in Russia could drop to about forty to fifty rouble (0.57 to 0.72 Euro) per kilo in St. Petersburg, which lies below the production cost, according to an importer. Ecuador is the largest supplier of bananas to Russia. In the coming month, consumption will reach between 1.3 and 1.4 million boxes; that is, between 25 and 27 million kilos. Demand for bananas is especially noteworthy during the first quarter of the year, which is a time when there is no local fruit available and bananas are a relatively cheap import product. Bananas are usually available even in the remotest corners of Russia.
Oversupply makes U.S. prices fall
Major imports from South America have caused banana prices to plummet. Even though the market is stable, logistics operators have consequently set their eyes more on Europe. A trader explains he is only shipping small volumes to North America, but the prices are too low, so now he is looking at the other side of the ocean.
SOURCE :FreshPlaza and AGF

Share this:

  • Tweet
  • More
Like Loading...

The China model: Lessons for Africa

20 Friday Nov 2015

Posted by raomk in CHINA, Economics, INTERNATIONAL NEWS, Opinion

≈ Leave a comment

Tags

Africa, Lessons, The China model

William Gumede

As China released its 13th Five Year Plan last week, there are key ingredients of China’s model of development, which African countries can definitely learn from.

The Asian dragon has emerged from typical developing country backwardness to the second largest economy in the world within four decades, regularly posting double-digit economic growth rates.

Of course not all of China’s reforms are applicable to African countries. The specific country conditions are different. Furthermore, within China there is not a consensus over what exactly the Chinese developmental ‘model’ is, except over some of the broad outlines. Nevertheless, African countries can benefit richly from studying some of the key Chinese development approaches.

China has done this by a combination of introducing catalytic new policies and institutions, overhauling the structure of the economy, changing the societal distribution of resources, opening access to land and improving human and physical capital.

China made sustaining high economic growth rates as a core pillar of economic policy. African governing parties and leaders since independence appeared ambivalent – others still do – about pushing all out to raise economic rates.

The question should not be about whether to go for growth, but how to make growth inclusive. Inclusive growth is whether economic growth positively affects the widest number of people in a country, not just small elites.

China focused on building a labour-intensive agricultural sector. In developing countries with mass poverty combined with low skills, sustained agricultural growth has a big potential to reduce poverty.

It dismantled the traditional Chinese feudal system, whereby a few families owned the land and an army of poor peasants worked for them for a pittance. The Chinese government distributed land among all rural peasants.

This was different from many examples of the African land redistribution. For example in Zambabwe, land was taken from white farmers and then mostly given to the elite of ruling Zanu-PF leaders, their families and allies.

But also as important, the Chinese government abolished the power of the traditional chiefs and authorities, who had control over land, patronage and the social values. The Chinese set out a program to equalize the status between traditional leaders and authorities and ordinary peasants, setting new common rules of behavior.

In many post-independence African countries, traditional leaders and authorities retained their power over communal land, their ‘subjects’ and traditional culture. They more often than not abused such powers for their own enrichment, leaving the vast majority of Africans living in rural areas into feudal ‘subjects’, living in abject poverty, as well controlling almost every part of their lives, and even who they should vote for.

In return for having untrammeled feudal power, African traditional chiefs and authorities made sure that their ‘subjects’ voted for the ruling party, repressed and isolated critics of the unequal system, accusing them of wanting to be ‘white’, of ‘rejecting’ their own culture and of being ‘agents’ of the colonial or Western powers.

The Chinese also introduced a greater measure of gender equality – than any African liberation movement – opening up education, skills and labour market opportunities for women.

They introduced industrial policies, which emphasized labour-intensive manufacturing aimed for export and linked to the country’s comparative advantage. This created mass jobs, wealth and slashed poverty. For most of the 50 years following independence, African countries remained stuck in exporting raw materials – which create few jobs and wealth only for a select few – without adding any value to them, or beneficiating or leveraging them to create new industrial sectors.

China put an extraordinary emphasis on developing human capital – quality, technical and research skills – given that they have few natural resources. It introduced nine years compulsory education, as well as rolled out preventative primary healthcare programs.

In fact, the government targeted poor households by providing them with assets (land), education and skills, to help them secure opportunities. Furthermore, it dramatically beefed up tertiary education, introducing a mix of artisan, technical and agricultural training institutions and high quality universities – channeling students according to their aptitudes to these different professional streams.

The country accelerated physical ‘capital’, such as infrastructure across the country – rolling out special programs in historically poor areas – linked to industrialization, human capital development and giving the poor access to markets.

China over time managed to make workers across the economy more productive – whether through new education, skills and health.

The Chinese Communist Party also focused on lifting the widest number of Chinese out of poverty, not one ethnic group, region, or political faction; unlike many African independence government, who in spite of the rhetoric to the contrary, often looked after their ‘own’ ethnic group, region or political constituency.

China introduced a reasonabl sense of meritocracy in its political, economic and social system – not favouring one ethnic group, region or constituency. This unleashed the energy of vast numbers of people, who may have opposed the communist political ideology, but who believed if they worked hard enough they would fairly gain opportunities.

China also effectively used fiscal – using governing spending and taxes and monetary – adjusting the money supply and interest rates – policies to stimulate growth, create jobs and maintain economic stability.

During downturns when demand in the economy was low, the Chinese government actively intervened and increased spending, especially on infrastructure, and reduced taxes. The Chinese have been often accused of keeping the country’s currency artificially low, to help its exporters.

China planned development better: their long-term plans were detailed – typically with specific targets, assigning who is accountable for what, and when, and robust monitoring mechanisms.

China, although led by the Chinese Communist Party, has been more pragmatic, less ideological in learning from other development experiences, whether from Japan, its ancient foe, or the US, its more recent adversary.

Some African governments and leaders were either trying to be more Marxist than the Soviet Union; more Maoist then China; or more neo-liberal than the US under Ronald Reagan or the UK under Margaret Thatcher.

Alternatively, some African countries implemented a hotchpotch of so-called ‘African socialism’, or African ‘communalism’, supposedly the ancient way in which Africans conducted economic transactions. Such efforts not surprisingly mostly failed.

China also policed public corruption, mismanagement and waste better than their African independence movement government peers.

http://pambazuka.org/en/category/comment/96034

Share this:

  • Tweet
  • More
Like Loading...

Mrs. Watanabe returns to India seeking emerging market yield

20 Friday Nov 2015

Posted by raomk in Current Affairs, Economics, INTERNATIONAL NEWS

≈ Leave a comment

Tags

capital flight, market yield, Mrs. Watanabe

TOKYO/MUMBAI | BY HIDEYUKI SANO AND HIMANK SHARMA
Two years after India’s policymakers stared down a major capital flight threat, the country has become a hot emerging market investment destination for one of the world’s most robust sources of capital – Japanese households.

Japanese retail investors chasing higher yields and resilient assets will provide Indian corporates another source of capital at a time of when capital inflows are peaking ahead of a widely-expected U.S. interest rate rise.

Fund managers say the increased interest from Japanese investors is also a vote of confidence in the fiscal and market reforms of Prime Minister Narendra Modi, voted into office in May 2014.

Just the year before that, worries about India’s record current account deficit sent the rupee to a record low.

The reforms that have opened up India’s markets to foreigners were game changers for the so-called “Mrs. Watanabe” – Japanese retail investors driven by their country’s policy of zero interest rates to seek yield offshore.

Japanese retail investment into India through investment trusts in October was 462 billion yen ($3.76 billion), its highest level in 7 1/2 years and more than doubling the amount invested at the time Modi came to power. That’s in stark contrast to markets such as Brazil that have experienced heavy outflows from Japanese investors.

“People realised something big had happened and money flew into equity funds and so on,” Ai Fujiwara, senior fund manager at Eastspring Investments in Tokyo, said of Modis election.

“And now as India is starting to look better compared to other emerging countries, there’s a renewed focus on it.”

Japanese retail investors have pumped $1.8 billion into funds investing in Indian bonds in the first nine months of the year, compared with $489.6 million a year earlier, and now hold a total $2.3 billion of bonds, data from Thomson Reuters Lipper shows.

Japanese investors have historically favoured destinations such as Brazil and Turkey for growth. But with India now bringing inflation under control and posting among the fastest emerging markets economic growth rates, fund flow direction has shifted toward the subcontinent.

“During the recent market selloff, Indian markets were doing relatively well even as other Asian countries were badly hit. So for sales staff, it is easier to sell India,” said Tomoaki Maebashi, the head of investment trust marketing and promotion at Sumitomo Mitsui Asset Management.

In the third quarter, Japanese bond funds that invest in Brazil, Indonesia and Turkey saw a combined net outflow of $296 million, while those investing in Indian bonds saw $290 million in inflows.

Brazil, by far the most popular investment for Japanese retail investors, has been especially hit by the exits: investment trusts’ holding of Brazilian bonds have almost halved in the past year to 427 billion yen ($3.52 billion).

ONCE BITTEN…

The last time Japanese investors piled into India, it ended badly. After investing 612 billion yen ($4.97 billion) by the end of 2007, many suffered heavy losses after Indian shares dropped about 73 percent in yen terms as the world plunged into financial crisis.

But this time, fund managers believe it will be different.

Holdings by Japanese investments trusts in Indian equities hit a five-year high of 315 billion yen ($2.56 billion) with many investors seeing India’s resilient growth profile as offering an appropriate combination of returns and safety.

India is seen as better placed to withstand any global market volatility from U.S. rate hikes thanks to hefty foreign exchange reserves of $351 billion from $296 billion at the end of 2013.

Japanese bond funds investing in India have gained on an average 12.6 percent in yen terms in the last one year, while those that invest in Brazil have lost an average 27.6 percent and Turkey an average of 15.8 percent, according to Lipper.

Meanwhile, India is expected to especially benefit from falling crude prices, given the country imports around two-thirds of its energy requirements.

“I own Indian shares because they should benefit from the fall in oil prices,” said a 51-year-old office worker who owned Indian shares through exchange traded funds.

Foreign investors have sold a net $993.4 million in debt and equities this month but remain heavy buyers for the year, with net purchases of $13.8 billion so far this year and $42 billion last year.

Japanese fund houses are also searching for opportunities in India’s asset management sector, with Nippon Life paying $184 million to raise its ownership stake in Reliance Capital Asset Management to 49 percent from 35 percent.

“Japanese retail money is stickier, which always helps. We have expanded our sales and distribution tie-ups in the country to tap on the demand,” said the chief executive of an Indian asset management company.

($1 = 122.97 yen)

Share this:

  • Tweet
  • More
Like Loading...

Global crude oil price of Indian Basket was US$ 40.03 per bbl on 18.11.2015

20 Friday Nov 2015

Posted by raomk in Economics, NATIONAL NEWS, Prices

≈ Leave a comment

Tags

crude oil price, Indian Basket

The international crude oil price of Indian Basket as computed/published today by Petroleum Planning and Analysis Cell (PPAC) under the Ministry of Petroleum and Natural Gas was US$ 40.03 per barrel (bbl) on 18.11.2015. This was lower than the price of US$ 40.27 per bbl on previous publishing day of 17.11.2015.

In rupee terms, the price of Indian Basket decreased to Rs 2646.82 per bbl on 18.11.2015 as compared to Rs 2657.22 per bbl on 17.11.2015. Rupee closed weaker at Rs 66.11 per US$ on 18.11.2015 as against Rs 65.98 per US$ on 17.11.2015.

Share this:

  • Tweet
  • More
Like Loading...

India to pay 45 rupees/T incentive to cane growers – minister

18 Wednesday Nov 2015

Posted by raomk in Economics, Farmers, NATIONAL NEWS

≈ Leave a comment

Tags

Farmers, sugarcane

 NEW DELHI

 India will for the first time pay sugarcane farmers part of the cost for produce that they sell to money-losing mills, a government minister said on Tuesday after a cabinet meeting chaired by Prime Minister Narendra Modi.

The move will help mills hit by a free-fall in local sugar prices that was triggered by five years of surplus output. Citing poor finances, mills have not been paying millions of dollars to cane growers, who form a major voting bloc.

The sugar industry has been going through a crisis that has led to an arrears in payment of 60 billion-65 billion rupees ($905.87 million-$981.35 million), and the decision for the government to shoulder some of the payments would help mills clear cane dues to farmers, Coal and Power Minister Piyush Goyal told a news conference.

“Under this scheme, the production subsidy will be given to offset the cost of cane and facilitate timely payment of cane prices to the farmers,” he said.

 The government would directly pay farmers 45 Indian rupees ($0.68) for every tonne of cane produced, leaving sugar mills to bear nearly 98 percent of the cost.

The move is aimed at wooing politically influential cane growers and helping sugar mills recovering from a global glut.

Shares of Indian sugar companies have been rising on expectations of government help, with stocks of Shree Renuka Sugars (SRES.NS), Simbhaoli Sugars (SIMB.NS) and Bannari Amman Sugars (BANN.NS) shooting up further on Wednesday.

Last month Reuters reported that India, the world’s biggest sugar consumer and the No. 2 producer after Brazil, was considering directly paying millions of cane farmers.

Separately, the government has asked mills to export 4 million tonnes of sugar in the 2015/16 season beginning October.

Share this:

  • Tweet
  • More
Like Loading...

GRAIN — Foreign pension funds and land grabbing in Brazil

18 Wednesday Nov 2015

Posted by raomk in Economics, Farmers, International

≈ Leave a comment

Source: GRAIN — Foreign pension funds and land grabbing in Brazil

Share this:

  • Tweet
  • More
Like Loading...

India Rabi Crops Sowing Crosess 123 Lakh Hactare

14 Saturday Nov 2015

Posted by raomk in Economics, Farmers

≈ Leave a comment

Tags

INDIA, Rabi Crops

As per preliminary reports received for the fields, sowing of Rabi crops has started in various parts of the country. The total area sown under Rabi crops as on 13th November, 2015 is 123.28 lakh hectares.  Wheat has been sown/transplantd in 18.65 lakh hectares, pulses in 38.91 lakh hectare coarse cereals in 34.53 lakhhectares, oilseeds in 31.02 lakh hectares and Rice in 0.17 lakh hectares.

The details of the area covered so far and that covered during last year this time is as follows:                                                                                                                            Lakh hectare

Crop Area sown in 2015-16 Area sown in 2014-15
Wheat 18.65 42.88
Pulses 38.91 34.42
Coarse Cereals 34.53 27.74
Oilseeds 31.02 53.90
Rice 0.17 0.36
Total 123.28 159.30

 

Share this:

  • Tweet
  • More
Like Loading...

Global crude oil price of Indian Basket was US$ 42.41 per bbl on 12.11.2015

14 Saturday Nov 2015

Posted by raomk in Current Affairs, Economics

≈ Leave a comment

Tags

crude oil price, INDIA

The international crude oil price of Indian Basket as computed/published today by Petroleum Planning and Analysis Cell (PPAC) under the Ministry of Petroleum and Natural Gas was US$ 42.41 per barrel (bbl) on 12.11.2015. This was lower than the price of US$ 43.78 per bbl on previous publishing day of 11.11.2015.

In rupee terms, the price of Indian Basket decreased to Rs 2813.92 per bbl on 12.11.2015 as compared to Rs 2904.49 per bbl on 11.11.2015. Rupee closed at Rs 66.35 per US$ on 12.11.2015.

Share this:

  • Tweet
  • More
Like Loading...

CPI(M) opposes further opening up of FDI in India

13 Friday Nov 2015

Posted by raomk in CPI(M), Current Affairs, Economics, Left politics

≈ Leave a comment

Tags

CPI(M), FDI, Modi

The Polit Bureau of the CPI(M) strongly condemns the announcement by the Prime Minister easing the regulations for Foreign Direct Investments in our country.  15 areas, including single brand retail, banking, construction, media, airlines, defence, banking, plantations etc., are to be opened up for approval under the automatic route.  32 new investment points will now allow FDI automatically.  The cap for approval of foreign investments has been raised to Rs. 5,000 crore from the existing Rs. 3,000 crores. The increase in the FDI to 49 per cent for news channels and radio is particularly harmful as it will facilitate near complete control of the news media by foreign media monopolies.

All these decisions have been taken on the eve of the winter session of the Parliament.  Worse they have been taken even without the Cabinet approval.  This is a complete travesty of our system of parliamentary democracy.  The Polit Bureau of the CPI(M) condemns such unilateral decisions by the PM.

Clearly, these announcements have come on the eve of Prime Minister Modi’s yet another programme of foreign tours to London, G-20, Malaysia and Singapore.  PM Modi made these announcements with an aim to appease foreign capital.  Thus both India’s markets and resources are being opened up further for the maximization of profits for foreign capital.

This license to loot comes at a time when the majority of the Indian people continue to groan under newer economic burdens. Price rise of essential commodities continues unabated. The agrarian distress is deepening.  The increases in the minimum support prices are so meagre that they do not even cover the production costs.  This is accelerating the distress suicides of our farmers.

The Polit Bureau of the CPI(M) calls upon PM Modi and his government to focus attention on providing relief to the vast majority of our Indian people as promised during the 2014 election campaign.

Share this:

  • Tweet
  • More
Like Loading...

Three reasons for the fall of oil and its global impact

13 Friday Nov 2015

Posted by raomk in Economics, International, Prices

≈ Leave a comment

Tags

oil, Venezuela

Venezuela is leading a global campaign among producing countries to raise and support the prices of crude oil at $ 80 or so. What are the causes of his fall ?. Here we explain.

Since 2004, crude oil prices have been volatile, with a downward trend. Venezuela is leading a global campaign to gather wills between the members of the Organization of Petroleum Exporting Countries (OPEC) and other world producers, to try to raise it and maintain it.

Know the main causes that destabilize the global oil market:

Western interest

Since 2002, major oil producers have experienced sabotage, invasions and military offensives by US and its allies.

.- Oil strike in Venezuela from 2002-2003 promoted by the United States after the failed coup of April of that year.

.- US invasion of Iraq in 2003, under the excuse of the alleged existence of weapons of mass destruction.

.- Sabotage the flow of oil in Nigeria.

.- Sanctions and threats against Iran by the governments of George Bush and Barack Obama.

.- Overthrow and murder of Libyan leader Muammar Gaddafi. NATO bombing and financing mercenary groups that dismembered Libya, which before the war was one of the largest oil producers in Africa.

.- Western support for terrorist groups in Syria with the aim to overthrow President Bashar al-Assad.

All these factors had a negative impact on the oil market, which initially undertook a rally after having remained for 16 years below $ 30 a barrel until 2002.

After invading Iraq in 2003, the Bush administration threatened to countries that did not follow their guidelines to be the next targets.

Not yielding to his pretensions, Washington sought to intimidate the producers (especially in the Middle East and the Persian Gulf) with carrier visits, maneuvers, contramaniobras, weapons deployment, military exercises, support for terrorist groups in Syria, Iraq and other area countries.

Why the Gulf? Because in that area much of the world’s oil (No. 1 producer with 10.3 million barrels per day Saudi Arabia) occurs. Most oil exports pass through the Straits of Hormuz, the only exit to the oceans.

Fracking

Since 2014, the president of Venezuela, Nicolas Maduro , has warned about the method used by the United States for the production of oil, called “fracking”.

Maduro has reported that US oil flooded the world market with the aim of lowering oil prices, and destabilize the economies of the exporting countries, especially Venezuela and Russia.

“(Obama) recognizes the economic war against Russia, here we have it, we can read now, I read yesterday; recognizes war oil prices for the first time it recognizes the strategic line that is under development and it is behind it. Moreover, he says more seriously, to take effect this year, next year and the other, 2015 and 2016, oil war, war of prices, “the Venezuelan president in December 2014.

The so-called “fracking” is a technique for extracting oil and gas from underground. We proceed to fracture the rock hundreds of meters deep injecting between the cracks, water and other chemicals at high pressure.

See also →  The fracking unbalanced the world oil market

The technique has served the United States to raise its oil production and at the same time to make them cheaper in the international market. This method poses serious health risks for the contamination of groundwater with the liquid mixture introduced underground during the process, in addition to affecting the global seismicity.

The Fact: The US is the largest oil consumer in the world with 18.2 million barrels per day (2014).

Speculation

The oil market speculation is a factor that affects the price volatility.

The Secretary General of the Organization of Petroleum Exporting Countries (OPEC) , Abdullah al-Badri said the current state of the oil market does not justify the collapse in oil prices.

“We want to know the real reasons that led to such a fall in prices,” he said in Dubai on December 14.

Al Badri said that the production ceiling of OPEC “has not changed in the last 10 years (remaining) in about 30 million barrels” per day.

“Supply and demand were up -ligera- does not explain this drop 50 percent” since June 2014. If this continues, “speculation contributes greatly” to the collapse in prices, he added.

International impact

According to the American economist Jack Rasmus, there are at least three major potential impacts on global economic instability, following deflation of oil prices.

1- rapid appreciation of the US dollar, and the corresponding relative decline of the currencies of several emerging market economies (EME) – particularly those dependent on commodity exports, especially those for oil exports represent a significant percentage of total exports.

There is a long, documented historical relationship between the fall of oil prices and rising dollar.

2- Contribution to the general deflation in Europe and Japan economies are already in recession.

Despite the billions of dollars of liquidity injections by central banks, price levels still have been reduced to zero or less. Deflation oil added a deflationary drift significantly in Europe in general and in Japan.

This in turn is likely to lead to even more liquidity injections by central banks in the form of more quantitative easing (QE), further fueling the stock markets and bond asset bubbles.

3- The decrease in financial assets linked to oil could increase the trend to global financial instability.

Oil deflation can lead to widespread bankruptcies and defaults for various non-financial companies, which in turn precipitate financial instability events in banks linked to these companies.

The collapse of financial assets associated with oil may also have a “chain effect” later in other forms of financial assets and financial instability spreading to other credit markets.

Venezuelan proposal

President Maduro has insisted on a proposal for members and non-members of OPEC, which consists of two points:

1- Apply a mechanism of progressive cuts in oil production, in order to control prices.

2- Establish a first floor in oil prices at $ 70 and a ceiling of 100.

Share this:

  • Tweet
  • More
Like Loading...
← Older posts
Newer posts →

Recent Posts

  • ఏఐ డేటా సెంటర్లు.. అభివృద్ధి పేరుతో పర్యావరణ ముప్పు
  • భగవత్‌ సుభాషితాలు – ఆచరణలో విరుద్ధతలు!
  • పనిచేయని మోడినోమిక్స్, భారతీయ విజ్ఞానం, చంద్రబాబు, పవన్ కల్యాణ్ భజనలు వృధా – ప్రపంచ ఫ్యాక్టరీగా చైనా మరింత ముందుకు !
  • ఆర్థిక వృద్ధి కంటే అసమానతల పెరుగుదలే ఎక్కువ!
  • కృష్ణా డెల్టాలో నీటి సంక్షోభం – రైతాంగం ఎదుర్కొంటున్న సవాళ్లు, ఆచరణాత్మక పరిష్కారాలు

Recent Comments

SIVARAMAKRISHNA Gunturu's avatarSIVARAMAKRISHNA Gunt… on రాముడి సొమ్ము స్వాహా దర్యాప్తు…
Venugopalrao Nagumothu's avatarVenugopalrao Nagumot… on అసంబద్ద వాదనలు, అడ్డగోలు మాటలు…
Sk mahesh gupta's avatarSk mahesh gupta on శనగ రైతుల సంక్షోభం
pscknr's avatarpscknr on ఆడంతే నమ్మక ద్రోహి అన్న ఇరాన్‌…
pscknr's avatarpscknr on చైనాతో వాణిజ్యంపై ఆందోళన…

Archives

  • September 2026
  • August 2026
  • July 2026
  • June 2026
  • May 2026
  • April 2026
  • March 2026
  • February 2026
  • January 2026
  • December 2025
  • November 2025
  • October 2025
  • September 2025
  • August 2025
  • July 2025
  • June 2025
  • May 2025
  • April 2025
  • March 2025
  • February 2025
  • January 2025
  • December 2024
  • November 2024
  • October 2024
  • September 2024
  • August 2024
  • July 2024
  • June 2024
  • May 2024
  • April 2024
  • March 2024
  • February 2024
  • January 2024
  • December 2023
  • November 2023
  • October 2023
  • September 2023
  • August 2023
  • July 2023
  • June 2023
  • May 2023
  • April 2023
  • March 2023
  • February 2023
  • January 2023
  • December 2022
  • November 2022
  • October 2022
  • September 2022
  • August 2022
  • July 2022
  • June 2022
  • May 2022
  • April 2022
  • March 2022
  • February 2022
  • January 2022
  • December 2021
  • November 2021
  • October 2021
  • September 2021
  • August 2021
  • July 2021
  • June 2021
  • May 2021
  • April 2021
  • March 2021
  • February 2021
  • January 2021
  • December 2020
  • November 2020
  • October 2020
  • September 2020
  • August 2020
  • July 2020
  • June 2020
  • May 2020
  • April 2020
  • March 2020
  • February 2020
  • January 2020
  • December 2019
  • November 2019
  • October 2019
  • September 2019
  • August 2019
  • July 2019
  • June 2019
  • May 2019
  • April 2019
  • March 2019
  • February 2019
  • January 2019
  • December 2018
  • November 2018
  • October 2018
  • September 2018
  • August 2018
  • July 2018
  • June 2018
  • May 2018
  • April 2018
  • March 2018
  • February 2018
  • January 2018
  • December 2017
  • November 2017
  • October 2017
  • September 2017
  • August 2017
  • July 2017
  • June 2017
  • May 2017
  • April 2017
  • March 2017
  • February 2017
  • January 2017
  • December 2016
  • November 2016
  • October 2016
  • September 2016
  • August 2016
  • July 2016
  • June 2016
  • May 2016
  • April 2016
  • March 2016
  • February 2016
  • January 2016
  • December 2015
  • November 2015
  • October 2015

Categories

  • Africa
  • AP
  • AP NEWS
  • Asia
  • BJP
  • BRS
  • CHINA
  • Communalism
  • Congress
  • COUNTRIES
  • CPI(M)
  • Current Affairs
  • Economics
  • Education
  • employees
  • Environment
  • Europe
  • Farmers
  • Filims
  • Germany
  • Greek
  • Gujarat
  • Health
  • History
  • imperialism
  • INDIA
  • International
  • INTERNATIONAL NEWS
  • Japan
  • Latin America
  • Left politics
  • Literature.
  • Loksabha Elections
  • NATIONAL NEWS
  • Opinion
  • Others
  • Pensioners
  • Political Parties
  • Politics
  • Prices
  • Readers News Service
  • RELIGION
  • Religious Intolarence
  • RUSSIA
  • Science
  • Social Inclusion
  • Sports
  • STATES NEWS
  • tdp
  • TDP
  • Telangana
  • Telugu
  • UK
  • Uncategorized
  • USA
  • WAR
  • Women
  • Women
  • Ycp

Meta

  • Create account
  • Log in
  • Entries feed
  • Comments feed
  • WordPress.com

Recent Posts

  • ఏఐ డేటా సెంటర్లు.. అభివృద్ధి పేరుతో పర్యావరణ ముప్పు
  • భగవత్‌ సుభాషితాలు – ఆచరణలో విరుద్ధతలు!
  • పనిచేయని మోడినోమిక్స్, భారతీయ విజ్ఞానం, చంద్రబాబు, పవన్ కల్యాణ్ భజనలు వృధా – ప్రపంచ ఫ్యాక్టరీగా చైనా మరింత ముందుకు !
  • ఆర్థిక వృద్ధి కంటే అసమానతల పెరుగుదలే ఎక్కువ!
  • కృష్ణా డెల్టాలో నీటి సంక్షోభం – రైతాంగం ఎదుర్కొంటున్న సవాళ్లు, ఆచరణాత్మక పరిష్కారాలు

Recent Comments

SIVARAMAKRISHNA Gunturu's avatarSIVARAMAKRISHNA Gunt… on రాముడి సొమ్ము స్వాహా దర్యాప్తు…
Venugopalrao Nagumothu's avatarVenugopalrao Nagumot… on అసంబద్ద వాదనలు, అడ్డగోలు మాటలు…
Sk mahesh gupta's avatarSk mahesh gupta on శనగ రైతుల సంక్షోభం
pscknr's avatarpscknr on ఆడంతే నమ్మక ద్రోహి అన్న ఇరాన్‌…
pscknr's avatarpscknr on చైనాతో వాణిజ్యంపై ఆందోళన…

Archives

  • September 2026
  • August 2026
  • July 2026
  • June 2026
  • May 2026
  • April 2026
  • March 2026
  • February 2026
  • January 2026
  • December 2025
  • November 2025
  • October 2025
  • September 2025
  • August 2025
  • July 2025
  • June 2025
  • May 2025
  • April 2025
  • March 2025
  • February 2025
  • January 2025
  • December 2024
  • November 2024
  • October 2024
  • September 2024
  • August 2024
  • July 2024
  • June 2024
  • May 2024
  • April 2024
  • March 2024
  • February 2024
  • January 2024
  • December 2023
  • November 2023
  • October 2023
  • September 2023
  • August 2023
  • July 2023
  • June 2023
  • May 2023
  • April 2023
  • March 2023
  • February 2023
  • January 2023
  • December 2022
  • November 2022
  • October 2022
  • September 2022
  • August 2022
  • July 2022
  • June 2022
  • May 2022
  • April 2022
  • March 2022
  • February 2022
  • January 2022
  • December 2021
  • November 2021
  • October 2021
  • September 2021
  • August 2021
  • July 2021
  • June 2021
  • May 2021
  • April 2021
  • March 2021
  • February 2021
  • January 2021
  • December 2020
  • November 2020
  • October 2020
  • September 2020
  • August 2020
  • July 2020
  • June 2020
  • May 2020
  • April 2020
  • March 2020
  • February 2020
  • January 2020
  • December 2019
  • November 2019
  • October 2019
  • September 2019
  • August 2019
  • July 2019
  • June 2019
  • May 2019
  • April 2019
  • March 2019
  • February 2019
  • January 2019
  • December 2018
  • November 2018
  • October 2018
  • September 2018
  • August 2018
  • July 2018
  • June 2018
  • May 2018
  • April 2018
  • March 2018
  • February 2018
  • January 2018
  • December 2017
  • November 2017
  • October 2017
  • September 2017
  • August 2017
  • July 2017
  • June 2017
  • May 2017
  • April 2017
  • March 2017
  • February 2017
  • January 2017
  • December 2016
  • November 2016
  • October 2016
  • September 2016
  • August 2016
  • July 2016
  • June 2016
  • May 2016
  • April 2016
  • March 2016
  • February 2016
  • January 2016
  • December 2015
  • November 2015
  • October 2015

Categories

  • Africa
  • AP
  • AP NEWS
  • Asia
  • BJP
  • BRS
  • CHINA
  • Communalism
  • Congress
  • COUNTRIES
  • CPI(M)
  • Current Affairs
  • Economics
  • Education
  • employees
  • Environment
  • Europe
  • Farmers
  • Filims
  • Germany
  • Greek
  • Gujarat
  • Health
  • History
  • imperialism
  • INDIA
  • International
  • INTERNATIONAL NEWS
  • Japan
  • Latin America
  • Left politics
  • Literature.
  • Loksabha Elections
  • NATIONAL NEWS
  • Opinion
  • Others
  • Pensioners
  • Political Parties
  • Politics
  • Prices
  • Readers News Service
  • RELIGION
  • Religious Intolarence
  • RUSSIA
  • Science
  • Social Inclusion
  • Sports
  • STATES NEWS
  • tdp
  • TDP
  • Telangana
  • Telugu
  • UK
  • Uncategorized
  • USA
  • WAR
  • Women
  • Women
  • Ycp

Meta

  • Create account
  • Log in
  • Entries feed
  • Comments feed
  • WordPress.com

Social

  • View mannem.koteswararao’s profile on Facebook
  • View mannemkoteswara’s profile on Twitter

Recent Posts

  • ఏఐ డేటా సెంటర్లు.. అభివృద్ధి పేరుతో పర్యావరణ ముప్పు
  • భగవత్‌ సుభాషితాలు – ఆచరణలో విరుద్ధతలు!
  • పనిచేయని మోడినోమిక్స్, భారతీయ విజ్ఞానం, చంద్రబాబు, పవన్ కల్యాణ్ భజనలు వృధా – ప్రపంచ ఫ్యాక్టరీగా చైనా మరింత ముందుకు !
  • ఆర్థిక వృద్ధి కంటే అసమానతల పెరుగుదలే ఎక్కువ!
  • కృష్ణా డెల్టాలో నీటి సంక్షోభం – రైతాంగం ఎదుర్కొంటున్న సవాళ్లు, ఆచరణాత్మక పరిష్కారాలు

Recent Comments

SIVARAMAKRISHNA Gunturu's avatarSIVARAMAKRISHNA Gunt… on రాముడి సొమ్ము స్వాహా దర్యాప్తు…
Venugopalrao Nagumothu's avatarVenugopalrao Nagumot… on అసంబద్ద వాదనలు, అడ్డగోలు మాటలు…
Sk mahesh gupta's avatarSk mahesh gupta on శనగ రైతుల సంక్షోభం
pscknr's avatarpscknr on ఆడంతే నమ్మక ద్రోహి అన్న ఇరాన్‌…
pscknr's avatarpscknr on చైనాతో వాణిజ్యంపై ఆందోళన…

Archives

  • September 2026
  • August 2026
  • July 2026
  • June 2026
  • May 2026
  • April 2026
  • March 2026
  • February 2026
  • January 2026
  • December 2025
  • November 2025
  • October 2025
  • September 2025
  • August 2025
  • July 2025
  • June 2025
  • May 2025
  • April 2025
  • March 2025
  • February 2025
  • January 2025
  • December 2024
  • November 2024
  • October 2024
  • September 2024
  • August 2024
  • July 2024
  • June 2024
  • May 2024
  • April 2024
  • March 2024
  • February 2024
  • January 2024
  • December 2023
  • November 2023
  • October 2023
  • September 2023
  • August 2023
  • July 2023
  • June 2023
  • May 2023
  • April 2023
  • March 2023
  • February 2023
  • January 2023
  • December 2022
  • November 2022
  • October 2022
  • September 2022
  • August 2022
  • July 2022
  • June 2022
  • May 2022
  • April 2022
  • March 2022
  • February 2022
  • January 2022
  • December 2021
  • November 2021
  • October 2021
  • September 2021
  • August 2021
  • July 2021
  • June 2021
  • May 2021
  • April 2021
  • March 2021
  • February 2021
  • January 2021
  • December 2020
  • November 2020
  • October 2020
  • September 2020
  • August 2020
  • July 2020
  • June 2020
  • May 2020
  • April 2020
  • March 2020
  • February 2020
  • January 2020
  • December 2019
  • November 2019
  • October 2019
  • September 2019
  • August 2019
  • July 2019
  • June 2019
  • May 2019
  • April 2019
  • March 2019
  • February 2019
  • January 2019
  • December 2018
  • November 2018
  • October 2018
  • September 2018
  • August 2018
  • July 2018
  • June 2018
  • May 2018
  • April 2018
  • March 2018
  • February 2018
  • January 2018
  • December 2017
  • November 2017
  • October 2017
  • September 2017
  • August 2017
  • July 2017
  • June 2017
  • May 2017
  • April 2017
  • March 2017
  • February 2017
  • January 2017
  • December 2016
  • November 2016
  • October 2016
  • September 2016
  • August 2016
  • July 2016
  • June 2016
  • May 2016
  • April 2016
  • March 2016
  • February 2016
  • January 2016
  • December 2015
  • November 2015
  • October 2015

Categories

  • Africa
  • AP
  • AP NEWS
  • Asia
  • BJP
  • BRS
  • CHINA
  • Communalism
  • Congress
  • COUNTRIES
  • CPI(M)
  • Current Affairs
  • Economics
  • Education
  • employees
  • Environment
  • Europe
  • Farmers
  • Filims
  • Germany
  • Greek
  • Gujarat
  • Health
  • History
  • imperialism
  • INDIA
  • International
  • INTERNATIONAL NEWS
  • Japan
  • Latin America
  • Left politics
  • Literature.
  • Loksabha Elections
  • NATIONAL NEWS
  • Opinion
  • Others
  • Pensioners
  • Political Parties
  • Politics
  • Prices
  • Readers News Service
  • RELIGION
  • Religious Intolarence
  • RUSSIA
  • Science
  • Social Inclusion
  • Sports
  • STATES NEWS
  • tdp
  • TDP
  • Telangana
  • Telugu
  • UK
  • Uncategorized
  • USA
  • WAR
  • Women
  • Women
  • Ycp

Meta

  • Create account
  • Log in
  • Entries feed
  • Comments feed
  • WordPress.com

Create a free website or blog at WordPress.com.

Privacy & Cookies: This site uses cookies. By continuing to use this website, you agree to their use.
To find out more, including how to control cookies, see here: Cookie Policy
  • Subscribe Subscribed
    • vedika
    • Join 240 other subscribers
    • Already have a WordPress.com account? Log in now.
    • vedika
    • Subscribe Subscribed
    • Sign up
    • Log in
    • Report this content
    • View site in Reader
    • Manage subscriptions
    • Collapse this bar
%d